Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.110167 0.127353 0.146109 0.168069 0.193041 0.220525 0.253031
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.088662 0.112568 0.140929 0.176922 0.221246 0.273890 0.340995
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.068963 0.095338 0.129069 0.175067 0.235813 0.312899 0.417679
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.059013 0.087981 0.127565 0.185031 0.265635 0.373856 0.529160
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049420 0.079023 0.122015 0.188099 0.285976 0.424190 0.632323
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040352 0.068945 0.112921 0.184215 0.295253 0.459474 0.717846
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.033743 0.061324 0.106057 0.182210 0.306374 0.497841 0.811162
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.030674 0.058883 0.106827 0.192017 0.336554 0.567619 0.958713
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027874 0.056356 0.106945 0.200508 0.365230 0.637483 1.112801
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023453 0.050036 0.099450 0.194673 0.368752 0.666338 1.202368
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020347 0.045658 0.094752 0.193032 0.379054 0.707046 1.314932
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017296 0.040819 0.088416 0.187357 0.381126 0.733253 1.404217
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014920 0.037035 0.083704 0.184398 0.388331 0.770039 1.517272
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013492 0.035087 0.082453 0.188190 0.408957 0.833356 1.684587
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011541 0.031548 0.077271 0.183083 0.411205 0.862173 1.789909
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010844 0.030916 0.078403 0.191656 0.442420 0.949757 2.015506
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009794 0.029187 0.076755 0.193814 0.460266 1.012375 2.197372
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.008489 0.026513 0.072447 0.189272 0.462990 1.044439 2.320562
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007478 0.024437 0.069266 0.186916 0.470222 1.086330 2.467183
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007169 0.024316 0.071023 0.196782 0.506432 1.192747 2.757213
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006817 0.023997 0.072212 0.205366 0.540502 1.297310 3.051340
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.005913 0.021775 0.067929 0.199347 0.538938 1.323111 3.176862
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005280 0.020282 0.065422 0.197640 0.547681 1.372706 3.358615